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AIA's Architecture Billings Index Shows Steep Decline



After showing signs of stabilization over the last three months, the Architecture Billings Index (ABI) plunged nearly five points in June, according to the American Institute of Architects (AIA).


After showing signs of stabilization over the last three months, the Architecture Billings Index (ABI) plunged nearly five points in June, according to the American Institute of Architects (AIA).

As an economic indicator of construction activity, the ABI reflects the approximate nine to twelve month lag time between architecture billings and construction spending. AIA reported the June ABI rating was was 37.7, far lower than the 42.9 the previous month

This score indicates a sharp decline in demand for design services, AIA says.

“It appears as though we may have not yet reached the bottom of this construction downturn,” says AIA Chief Economist Kermit Baker. “Architecture firms are struggling and concerned that construction market conditions will not even improve as soon as next year. There has also been little movement in terms of stimulus funding allocated for design projects having the desired impact of leading to new work.”

Any score above 50 indicates an increase in billings. The new projects inquiry score was 53.8, the fourth straight month with a score in the mid-50’s.
 
Key June ABI highlights:
 
Regional averages:
Northeast (42.8), South (40.5), West (39.9), Midwest (36.2)

Sector index breakdown:
Mixed practice (43.5), multi-family residential (42.7), commercial / industrial (39.5), institutional (37.0)

Project inquiries index: 53.8
 
About the AIA Architecture Billings Index
The Architecture Billings Index is derived from a monthly “Work-on-the-Boards” survey and produced by the AIA Economics  Market Research Group. Based on a comparison of data compiled since the survey’s inception in 1995 with figures from the Department of Commerce on Construction Put in Place, the findings amount to an economic indicator that provides an approximately nine to twelve month glimpse into the future of nonresidential construction activity.

The diffusion indexes contained in the full report are derived from a monthly survey sent to a panel of AIA member-owned firms. Participants are asked whether their billings increased, decreased, or stayed the same in the month that just ended. According to the proportion of respondents choosing each option, a score is generated, which represents an index value for each month. The regional and sector data is formulated using a three-month moving average.
 




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  posted on 7/22/2009   Article Use Policy




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